Poll: Trump trails Biden, leads Warren in key states

President TrumpDonald John TrumpSenate advances public lands bill in late-night vote Warren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases Esper orders ‘After Action Review’ of National Guard’s role in protests MORE is trailing former Vice President Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE and leading Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) in key battleground states, according to a New York Times/Siena College survey released on Monday. 

The poll shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points in Arizona, 3 points in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and by 2 points in Florida, margins all near or within the poll’s margin of error.

The president and former vice president are also neck and neck in Michigan, according to the survey. 

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Trump led Biden by 2 points in North Carolina, however, which has become more competitive for Democrats in recent years. 

Trump won all six of the battleground states in 2016. 

Pollsters also found that the president leads Warren by 6 points in Michigan, by 4 points in Florida, and by 3 points in North Carolina. 

The two are even in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, and Warren edges Trump by 2 points in Arizona. 

Another progressive 2020 White House hopeful, Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.), leads Trump by 2 points in Michigan and Wisconsin, and by 1 point in Pennsylvania. Trump tops Sanders in Florida, Arizona and North Carolina. 

The poll can be seen as a warning for Democrats ahead of the 2020 presidential election, illustrating Trump’s competitiveness in key battleground states. 

The results could also be used to back up Biden’s argument that he stands the best chance of defeating Trump in 2020. The Biden campaign has repeatedly touted the former vice president’s electability against the president as Warren has risen in a number of state and national-level polls. 

“We have got to beat this man. It’s not enough that we just beat him. We’ve got to beat him soundly so everyone knows we are not going back to a time when another president like him can hold that office,” Biden said in Iowa last Friday. “And I will beat him like a drum if I’m your nominee, and he knows it.”

The New York Times/Siena College poll was conducted from Oct. 13-26 among 3,766 registered voters. The margin error in each state poll is 4.4 percentage points. 

— This report was updated at 7:05 a.m.